Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.781659 0.896519 1.021617 1.167878 1.334090 1.517003 1.733462
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.642159 0.804897 0.997395 1.241441 1.542155 1.900122 2.358152
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.516723 0.703273 0.941427 1.266663 1.698107 2.249549 3.006544
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.431776 0.634438 0.912094 1.318158 1.894451 2.680242 3.829804
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.351211 0.554746 0.852743 1.317389 2.019548 3.035941 4.612505
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.296568 0.501067 0.819506 1.346292 2.189608 3.478855 5.588051
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.242599 0.437098 0.758247 1.320132 2.269853 3.798041 6.425612
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.214256 0.409526 0.749725 1.376155 2.488487 4.363083 7.733864
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.193195 0.390309 0.751393 1.448687 2.744771 5.024362 9.295811
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.168332 0.358851 0.725196 1.465832 2.904183 5.539372 10.674766
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.145954 0.327639 0.693617 1.466624 3.031780 6.012367 12.040315
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.127247 0.300153 0.664278 1.466141 3.155320 6.491985 13.480385
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.111760 0.276933 0.640444 1.474654 3.301858 7.043134 15.151960
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.100605 0.261330 0.630243 1.510727 3.511923 7.750885 17.239801
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.088059 0.239762 0.602848 1.503822 3.627830 8.279955 19.029541
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079834 0.227247 0.594249 1.538843 3.843187 9.050287 21.443016
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.069842 0.207939 0.565674 1.520861 3.932287 9.553864 23.332746
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.063132 0.196120 0.553781 1.542356 4.119617 10.305564 25.890207
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.054770 0.177714 0.521264 1.504870 4.154283 10.704001 27.669811
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.051201 0.172763 0.524310 1.563003 4.443445 11.753768 31.162282
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048620 0.170314 0.533967 1.641139 4.797578 13.010228 35.328705
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.044272 0.161217 0.522714 1.657872 4.987428 13.874475 38.609063
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.039910 0.151062 0.506414 1.657016 5.128143 14.629413 41.702655